Category Archives: Politics

Postings related to elections and general political stuff

Fuel Protests – The Effects

So it’s Saturday morning, after three days of Fuel Protests, the effects have been as predicted by the BBC, almost non-existent. The only disruption was as a result of the M4 go-slow yesterday.

Looking back to Wednesday, lets remind us what Andrew Spence promised:

“We want an immediate reduction in tax to bring prices down or as of 6am next Wednesday there won’t be a refinery left open.�

That promise resulted in several days of panic buying, but when dawn on Wednesday arrived, what happened? The article in Thursdays Times sums it up as a flop.

Spence himself only managed to get 12 protesters to his local refinery, and turned up on TV on Wednesday morning complaining that the Police had moved everybody to a layby a quarter of a mile from the entrance. All over the country, what protesters did appear were outnumbered by press and Police.

On the radio protesters were proclaiming 99% support, not the opinion I got. Whilst most people would like fuel to be cheaper, almost nobody can fathom why wasting a vast amount of expensive fuel by driving 60-100 gas guzzling vehicles at a crawl across Wales and back proves anything.

Just to really add to the irony, as promised, since wholesale petrol prices have dropped back, the fuel retailers also cut back prices. However the point had been made that prices might have fallen sooner had it not been for the massive demand earlier in the week.

The final comment on the whole protest was when the Road Hauliers Association said that fuel prices weren’t the real problem with the haulage industry anyway, and that a tax cut would only delay the current problems. The problem is actually the cut-throat competition in the sector. Whilst some hauliers are willing to work for almost no profit, and the large hauliers have negotiating power, the rest are left to flounder. A cut in fuel prices would result in large parts of the industry cutting their rates, and we’d be back to square one. Also whilst farmers supported the protests last time, this time there were few to be seen, as high fuel prices mean more money for the burgeoning bio-diesel market – with Tesco selling bio-diesel since 2004.

The Madness Begins Again

Despite calls for restraint, and Andrew Spence saying that there will not be blockades, only peaceful protest, as happened several times after the 2000 fuel protests, we have another round of panic buying from motorists. I went to my usual petrol station to fill up at lunchtime, and unlike usual where I can get almost straight in, there was a queue of cars all the way out of the entrance back on to the road.

I decided to head off to one of the other local stations, that has a larger number of pumps, and managed to get in, but still had to wait, watching several people put tiny amounts of fuel into their tanks. Again the petrol station was busier than usual. Having said that, it seems other parts of the country are a lot worse.

The good thing is that now, with a full tank, I’ll have enough fuel to last me until next Monday, so whether there are supply problems or not, I shouldn’t run in to problems. Having said that, whether Andrew Spence and co decide to blockade or not, the fundamental problem is that the general public don’t seem to believe or trust either him or the rest of the fuel lobby. Is it any surprise? Although he is now being absolutely clear that they will not blockade, the earlier statements have done their damage.

Today Spence is saying that nothing will be blockaded:

“I strongly urge against blockades. We want peaceful protests. We are going to maintain a presence but we will not be stopping supplies going in or going out. It should not be disruptive. I can’t say strenuously enough that people should not be panic-buying.”

But last week Spence was quoted as saying:

“We want an immediate reduction in tax to bring prices down or as of 6am next Wednesday there won’t be a refinery left open.”

At the moment, it seems that a crisis could be generated purely by collective panic from the general public as a result of Spence and co making threats, and without anybody blockading anything.

Here We Go Again?

On the day that British petrol prices hit £1 per litre in some places, the news was made even more depressing by the gang of fuel lobbyists who caused such chaos back in 2000 threatening to do the whole thing again.

Having said that, the news may not be as black as it first seems. The US refineries closed by the hurricane are starting to reopen, bringing the cost of oil down to pre-storm levels, so hopefully prices will fall back accordingly at the pumps. Also, the support from the country for the protesters is not what it once was, whereas when the 2000 protest started many people backed them, a week of queues for petrol, and shortages of bread resulted in many turning against them. Indeed I remember at the time one person who backed the protest at the beginning of the week wishing that the government would send in the army “to shoot a few of the ****’s”!!! Certainly whenever the prospect of another protest comes up, almost everybody I know groans and hopes that the government is properly prepared this time. Indeed the collapse of the last attempted protest before the election in April produced this rather bitter statement from the Less Tax on Fuel site:

Fuel demonstrations that started at Stanlow, Milford Haven, Pembroke and Cardiff came to an abrupt end with many of the protesters leaving the demonstrations early and others who had pledged their support never turned up at all.

It seems that once again apathy has set in with many of us happy to pay over 90 pence a litre for Diesel, even hauliers that are being hit hard failed to make their voice heard at the demonstrations. LTOF however remain committed to campaigning for a public review on the unfair and unjust tax levied on our transport industry and general motorists.

It is also worth bearing in mind that unlike in 2000 where our fuel was significantly more taxed, and cost more than anywhere else, this time everybody around the world is feeling the pinch, indeed as I mentioned last week, our prices are no longer the highest in Europe. The BBC has a series of slides looking at a number of statistics related to the fuel price which make interesting reading. They also have an assesment of whether it could all happen again.

On a personal level, if it does kick off again, and fuel does end up in short supply, we’re much better able to cope than we were back then. The VW quite happily does 50mpg, and only needs to be filled once a week, unlike the Fiesta I had back in 2000 that needed a fill up twice in a week due to it’s tiny fuel tank. (Incidentally, it is worth noting that currently the diesel price is rising at a slower rate than the petrol price, so prices are almost the same as petrol now, saving me even more in comparison with what I was paying.) Whilst Beth’s car is not as economic as mine, she is significantly closer to her school than before, so can quite happily last more than two weeks on a tank. If we get really low on fuel, with the advent of cheap broadband, I am also able to work quite productively from home too. Having said that, all of those changes will be worth nothing if food supplies dry up again.

Anyway, here’s to a swift fall in fuel prices, and also no repeat of the blockades of September 2000.

Is this America’s Tsunami?

Shortly after Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans, one local official described it as follows: “This is our tsunami”, and whilst being in the area of most devastation he is hardly going to be objective, it seems that a number of people beg to differ, also Sarah has posted a response to a comment on her site about her showing less sympathy to the Americans.

There are calls from some quarters about not politicising the tragedy, however others are asking questions as to what has happened. The BBC also published an article discussing New Orleans flood defences, most interesting being that this was not a catastrophic failure – essentially these were small breaches, hence the slowly rising water level. However it was total luck that this wasn’t a direct hit, the night before everybody thought this was ‘the big one’ and that it would hit the city, but at the last minute it changed course.

As a result of knowing this, and seeing the current pictures, I find I’m primarily getting angry. Why is it that thousands of people are trapped in the city? If it is known that the city flood defences couldn’t withstand a category 5 hurricane, why were all those people still there?

Looking at the news, in the days beforehand, everybody who could, drove away as fast as their cars could carry them, leaving others to face the disaster. This I think is probably the biggest difference between the tsunami and the hurricane – America knew it was coming – for days. They knew it had the potential to destroy the city, and yet only days after the event did they order a complete evacuation, once anarchy had broken out, people were being shot, raped and starving in the shelters, and the flood waters were rising. The tsunami happened without warning, and took thousands indescriminately, here although there were some chose to stay, most didn’t. Many of the poor of the city, old, infirm or people in hospitals were trapped, and the rich left. Oh, and Mr Bush carried on with his vacation, and in the words of the New York Times made a speech that was “casual to the point of carelessness”, and reported both by the BBC, and the Guardian.

Whilst questions on the response are really questions for the US public to deal with, it also throughs up challenging questions for ourselves. If something like this were to happen in the UK, given a warning of something catastrophic, would it be every person for himself, leaving the poor, the old and the sick behind? I’d like to think that we’d never have to find out, but if, was discussed earlier in the year the recent rise in hurricanes is caused by global warming, maybe we will have to contend with something similar some day as our climate changes, and our seas warm up.

So back to the original question, is this America’s Tsunami? I don’t think in the simple terms of the disaster it can be. However, in the same way that the tsunami has been a wake up call resulting in the long needed warning system, maybe this crisis will be a wake up call to the USA. Maybe as a result we’ll see better evacuation procedures in emergencies, better flood defences for vunerable areas, or dare we hope the realisation that the effects of climate change may be more costly than the effect on the US economy of cutting emissions under Kyoto?

But that is for the longer term. In the mean time, the BBC has an extensive list of organisations through which you can offer help for the people affected and the ongoing crisis in the region.

Travel Chaos

Longwater Lane Gridlock 1

Why is it that local councils seem unable to communicate with each other? In particular over roadworks.

Before we went on holiday, we had seen signs warning that the A327, that runs through Arborfield and Eversley, would be closed for “up to six weeks” from 15th August. Whilst it was quite good that they were doing it when it would be quiet over the summer (aside from the last two weeks when the schools are back of course), it would still be fairly chaotic.

Anyway, I took a look at the weekend, and established that the official diversion route was on large roads suitable for the traffic, and went massively out of my way, but that it would be easier to go round back roads either through Finchampstead, or Swallowfield. This morning I went through Finchampstead, and it didn’t take much longer than usual.

Longwater Lane Gridlock 2

Tonight, all was going well until I turned into Longwater Lane, the road between Eversley Cross, and Finchampstead, to be greeted by the first picture. The second is half a mile further on, crossing the border into Berkshire. It was absolute chaos, with traffic queuing back towards California Crossroads, along through Finchampstead Village, and even round residential side streets. People were even resorting to using single track back lanes to get through.

Listening to the radio I found out that it wasn’t just caused by the closure of the A327. In addition, it seems there were roadworks on the diversion route too. On top of that, one of the other possible routes was also closed, and there had been an accident in Bracknell. As a result most of the roads to the south of Reading were jammed. Each closure was the responsibility of a different local council. I would have thought that anyone with any sense would have realised the chaos caused by the closure of one main road on the border of several council areas and consulted so as not to close any others whilst the work was taking place…